(ConservativePeak.com)- According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the number of people who have been infected with coronavirus in South Florida is actually eleven times higher than initially reported. The study references the number of people who have tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies, suggesting that fewer people may be at risk of contracting the disease than already thought.
The study looked at numbers as of April 10, meaning that even more people are likely to have been infected already. This is significant because it means that further lockdowns may not even be necessary. It means more people have asymptomatically had the disease, or experienced mild symptoms and survived. Ultimately, it means that the death rate of the disease, while high, indicates that it is less deadly than initially thought.
Make no mistake, this isn’t the same as the flu – but it likely isn’t killing people at the rate we initially thought it was.
The CDC findings were updated on June 26, and suggest that the number of COVID-19 cases in South Florida were at least 117,400…up from just 10,500. The findings mean that the Infection Fatality Rates (IFR) is lower than initial projections now that more antibody tests are being performed. The more antibody tests we see take place, and the more positive results they bring back, the lower that IFR number goes. It’s good news for states like Florida which have recently had to start reversing lockdown relaxations over recent spikes in infections.
The CDC study looked at regions around Palm Beach, Broward, Miami-Dade, and Martin.
Combining data from the Johns Hopkins University tracker and the CDC, South Florida’s death rate is less than 0.6 as of the beginning of May. That is down from the estimated 3.6 before the results of the antibody study were revealed. That means the death rate, from those infected by the disease, is down by around 80%.
It might sound like shocking news, but it’s really actually good news. Now the question is whether the politicians are willing to act on the new data, and start relaxing lockdown rules to get the economy moving again.